AI-Generated National Flood Susceptibility Mapping
Ecology · Planning & Decision-making
What it collects
- Climate variables (e.g. precipitation, temperature) and hydro-geomorphological variables (e.g. slope, drainage, soil type) used as predictors in the flood susceptibility model. These are environmental sensor and geospatial measurements with no individual person attached.
- Historic flood event locations across Canada, used to identify spatial patterns of flooding. Data describes where past floods occurred rather than identifying any individual.
- Run by
- Natural Resources Canada (NRCan)
- Where
- No fixed location
- Kept
- Not stated by the Helpful Places.
- Shared with
- Accountable organization
- Your copy
- You cannot see the data it holds about you. What you can do
What it is for
This system uses machine learning to produce a national map of Canada showing how likely each area is to experience flooding, based on historical flood data and climate and hydro-geomorphological variables. It is used by Government of Canada employees for planning and analysis purposes. Members of the public are not directly informed when this tool influences decisions. The model is an ensemble machine learning approach trained on patterns from past flood events.
What it collects and what happens to it
Data taken in
- Climate variables (e.g. precipitation, temperature) and hydro-geomorphological variables (e.g. slope, drainage, soil type) used as predictors in the flood susceptibility model. These are environmental sensor and geospatial measurements with no individual person attached.
- Historic flood event locations across Canada, used to identify spatial patterns of flooding. Data describes where past floods occurred rather than identifying any individual.
Processing
- An ensemble machine learning model classifies geographic areas into flood susceptibility levels based on historical flood event patterns and climate and hydro-geomorphological predictor variables.
What it does
- The system scores and classifies geographic areas by flood susceptibility using an ensemble machine learning model. Outputs are a ranked susceptibility map used by GC employees as an advisory input to planning decisions.
Outputs
- A national map of Canada showing flood susceptibility scores by geographic area. The output is a spatial index of flood likelihood — not tied to any individual — used by GC employees for planning purposes.
- The susceptibility index provides an advisory ranking of flood-prone areas to support planning decisions. GC employees interpret and apply the outputs; no automated binding decision is made by the model itself.
Run by
- Natural Resources Canada (NRCan) is the federal department responsible for developing and deploying this flood susceptibility mapping system for use by Government of Canada employees.
Government of Canada AI Register — Flood Susceptibility Index
Built by
- The system was developed by the Government of Canada, indicating in-house development rather than a third-party commercial vendor.
Government of Canada AI Register — Flood Susceptibility Index
Kept for
Not stated by the Helpful Places.
Shared with
- Outputs are accessible to Government of Canada employees for planning and analysis. The register identifies GC employees as the primary users.
- Members of the public do not have a direct interface to query the system or access individualized outputs about their properties. The AI use has not been disclosed to the public per the register.
Stored
Not stated by the Helpful Places.
How to read the colours
Can it identify you?
- Anonymized data
- Data about people with the link to who is broken. Stripped of identifiers, blurred, aggregated, or noised so this system can’t reasonably tie a record back to an individual.
- Pseudonymous data
- Each person’s data is tied to a token (hash, ID, template) that lets this system recognise the same person across events, but the token itself doesn’t reveal a name. Reidentification is possible with extra information.
- Identifiable data
- The data either contains a direct identifier (name, address, account name, recognisable face or voice, plate number) or carries a token this system uses to look up legal identity during processing.
Who completes the loop?
- Human decides
- This mode suggests; a person decides what to do next. The AI is always advisory — a human is in the loop on every decision. Example: a triage tool ranks cases for a clinician who chooses which to see first.
- Human executes
- This mode decides; a person carries out the result. Example: an optimizer plans the day’s trash-collection routes, and drivers run them.
- Autonomous
- This mode decides and acts on its own. No person reviews each decision or carries out the resulting action.
Definitions from the DTPR standard. Amber is about your data, violet about who decides. The fuller the shape and the deeper the colour, the more identifying the data or the less a person is involved.
- AI registerGovernment of Canada AI Register — Flood Susceptibility Index (2526-NRCan-RNCan-006)
- SourceGeoScan Publication — Flood Susceptibility Index Methodology
- AI registerGovernment of Canada AI Register — Flood Susceptibility Index
- AI registerGovernment of Canada AI Register — Flood Susceptibility Index
- Register entryPublished by the Helpful Places. Reference 59e1eb5b. This disclosure was drafted with AI assistance.Schema: ai@2026-05-06-beta
What you can do
Ask about this system
Questions go to the Helpful Places, not the vendor.
Your rights
- Right to Algorithmic TransparencyThe methodology underlying the Flood Susceptibility Index is publicly documented in GeoScan publication R=329493. However, the Government of Canada AI Register confirms that AI use has not been disclosed to affected members of the public. Citizens may submit access to information requests to Natural Resources Canada for further details.
Risks and safeguards
- Civil liberties harmAI-based flood susceptibility mapping may influence land-use, insurance, or development decisions that affect property rights and community wellbeing without public notice (the register confirms AI use is not disclosed to users).Safeguard: The system targets aggregate geographic analysis rather than individuals; outputs are advisory to GC employees only. The methodology is published via GeoScan for independent review.